Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d68cfa6a5537dcaaf2b618a99c0cc8fc94c86527d10ccb34ff15fcc8c31f739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 35c | 6,733$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 5,479$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.2 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 913.73$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.35 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No | 68c | 832$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed No | 50c | 724.1$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…6d99backed Yes | 43c | 680.05$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 34c | 569.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 495.19$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.79 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 420.23$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 248.64$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 202.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 192$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 192$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 64c | 144.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 132.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 35c | 110.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 65c | 94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 70c | 59.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 67c | 38.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 76c | 30.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 68c | 25.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 65c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 67c | 17.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Yes | 66c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 66c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed No | 76c | 15.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.