Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac9dadffc36780894544536bb3d05eeb683988c2cf18439d37b4fae3477ed4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 59c | 12,067$7,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 11,874$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.57 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 970.88$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 879.94$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.78 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 785.73$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 417.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 380.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 41c | 373.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.51 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 41c | 221.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 39c | 198.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 39c | 139.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 19c | 95.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 61c | 82.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +77%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 40c | 62.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 20c | 56.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…b9d4backed Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 47.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 75c | 33.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 41c | 26.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.