TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$398,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,368 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No46c155,004$70,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,122.96,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes53c130,000$69,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,499.892138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes58c50,000$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,999.8516040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No47c32,562$15,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,258.1413748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No46c29,008$13,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,617.535941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8302…f88abacked Yes53c21,491$11,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,390.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed No47c19,399$9,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,365.016445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c14,304$8,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.171,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes54c13,000$7,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,029.6117042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No45c10,739$4,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,896.761,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No39c10,066$3,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,139.5513348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes57c9,999$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.524148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No53c8,853$4,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.2146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c8,214$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,215.182,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9610236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes56c4,818$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.1750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c4,723$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.871,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes52c3,821$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c3,797$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.62,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes56c3,590$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Yes61c3,280$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No44c3,140$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.4710053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes29c2,972$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.472441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes58c2,907$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.3382763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes41c2,745$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.2525225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes51c2,474$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes56c2,125$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes1c1,954$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5434628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed No58c1,715$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No42c1,700$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9862334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes64c1,169$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.081,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes54c1,037$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes39c1,037$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No46c1,031$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9620758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8b0…dcd6backed Yes67c1,011$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+90.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes59c1,008$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59435347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes2c1,008$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes61c984.22$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.836462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes55c913.88$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes48c839.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed No49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.333154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes63c794.76$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.73743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes51c762.34$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.794369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes61c750$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes54c735.49$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No52c707.07$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1611450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes52c704.45$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes45c699.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.994030%12 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes27c682.9$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1876136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes47c667$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.934548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes47c635.3$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.374447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c38…ad0abacked Yes61c613.95$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.51825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes44c599.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9923531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No58c598.41$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Yes59c587.44$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes46c563.48$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26012549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes57c522.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+55.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No37c499.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.991,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No37c499.96$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c499.54$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.711,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No46c439.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes53c415.09$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes53c412.77$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0e…62f0backed Yes54c407.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked No48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2088343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26842043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1169150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes51c392.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes53c391.58$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.544057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes53c378.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes56c353.64$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.46240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Yes60c348.93$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.471625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f65…4875backed Yes53c343.57$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e66…680dbacked Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002638.5%10 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6d96…8a6bbacked Yes61c332.79$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes55c311.87$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes33c306.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Yes50c302.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.383716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes59c299.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1779756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes39c299.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.891020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes63c285.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011746.2%54 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…625abacked Yes57c280.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes63c279.08$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17526344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes59c273.39$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes53c262.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.