Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1852603047352a36c0ac26d4f019b4522dee6e7cc53e758dfc2e57f8be097b2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,962 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 43c | 20,019$8,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,628.28 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 8,176$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 13c | 7,744$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,744.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,630$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.81 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 11c | 1,608$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 42c | 1,538$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.15 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked No | 19c | 1,414$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 1,371$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.05 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 1,239$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,153$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 1,013$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 8c | 634.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.12 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 12c | 621.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.31 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 18c | 568.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…9fc9backed Yes | 12c | 568.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 14c | 535.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.15 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 466.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.67 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 56c | 433.65$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes | 17c | 419.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 11c | 412.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 27c | 349.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b0…dcd6backed Yes | 13c | 329.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 16c | 269.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 251.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 11c | 221$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 14c | 214.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 15c | 200.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…834ebacked Yes | 20c | 195$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 18c | 176.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 9c | 169.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 17c | 134.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…31f9backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes | 74c | 130.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 123.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 21c | 116.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…bdacbacked Yes | 17c | 103.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 12c | 101.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 18c | 93.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 55c | 84.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 19c | 81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0533backed Yes | 19c | 80.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…e3fdbacked Yes | 73c | 69.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…7ddebacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Yes | 21c | 49.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…c0eabacked Yes | 80c | 18.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.