TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,830 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes32c8,125$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No48c6,561$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.0446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c4,805$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.51,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes57c2,134$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.627833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No79c1,653$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.521485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Yes66c1,509$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes36c1,392$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8810053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes73c706.67$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes11c661.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.761936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c567.78$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.692,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c533.45$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.26,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No78c528.88$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.071,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No51c501.88$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3711450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e66…680dbacked Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002638.5%10 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes15c467.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c461.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.932,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes79c381.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003450%17 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes36c341.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2819441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c330.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.191,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed No61c328.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.113842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes17c325.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.292138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes20c306.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1931747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked No77c257.39$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.291625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes78c256.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No75c222.9$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9d7…5946backed Yes64c218.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeffd…d3b3backed Yes68c165.62$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No78c157.91$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2716150.9%82 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x387b…c1a5backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…fa27backed Yes30c132.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No41c129.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.199541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No63c120.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8173258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes41c108.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed Yes35c100.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210125.7%26 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed No34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3457…0161backed Yes52c99.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes56c94.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.015022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7df…fb74backed No62c87.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…980cbacked Yes43c81.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No50c79.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3618841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f1…14b7backed Yes50c75.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c71.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237524%18 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Yes44c68.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b57…c0eabacked Yes46c64.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa4…7e7ebacked Yes22c63.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.627051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No39c56.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.446028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes48c55.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.573630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c02…4dc9backed Yes64c53.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No69c51.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8914128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306036.7%22 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No32c44.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5618444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes50c43.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.817869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394b…4f55backed Yes64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.065448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No72c38.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8621250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…c39cbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb6…8255backed Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8f…a27abacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8983…91b1backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceca…3f67backed Yes56c26.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed No69c26.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.142352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b1…b066backed Yes64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2be3…44a5backed Yes78c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No78c17.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8959445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked No79c16.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked No77c13.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.061942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.