Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc388de312a45ab08e98b708d74c7f4d37e7a61d8f0276c5ef167b3f79ad689d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,766 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 34c | 39,209$13,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,330.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 67c | 12,106$8,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 66c | 7,872$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.81 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Over | 66c | 7,714$5,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Over | 66c | 4,731$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.13 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 3,701$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 66c | 3,346$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.63 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 66c | 2,115$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.3 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 33c | 1,651$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.37 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 871.03$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.74 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 67c | 835$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 38c | 695$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 67c | 492.54$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 488.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 314.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 238.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 227.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 67c | 220$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 219.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 66c | 181.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 173.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 64c | 173.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 34c | 149.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 66c | 147.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 63c | 103.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 66c | 87.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Under | 35c | 84.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 66c | 77.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 66c | 75.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 36c | 65.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 66c | 64.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…51a3backed Over | 66c | 63.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Over | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 55.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed Over | 64c | 53.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed Over | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2157backed Over | 67c | 47.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…ccf7backed Over | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 66c | 45.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 32c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 67c | 42.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 37.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 51c | 35.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Under | 34c | 33.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Over | 66c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Over | 66c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 49c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…6e13backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Over | 64c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 67c | 22.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 66c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…44c4backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Over | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 65c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Over | 67c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.