Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccaefe0a12c125e05614f8c2b978bffa0028dcb4ef809a8d845de4fd6374f4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,273 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 56c | 9,507$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.99 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 8,964$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.36 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 6,000$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.48 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 59c | 4,107$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Over | 44c | 4,031$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 45c | 3,869$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Over | 45c | 3,318$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,973$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 44c | 1,835$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.59 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 1,781$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.13 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 1,750$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.34 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 863.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.53 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 552.09$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 27c | 551.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 74c | 540$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 62c | 368.14$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Over | 32c | 244.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 56c | 222$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 25c | 217.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Over | 43c | 174.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 46c | 165.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…f88abacked Over | 44c | 164$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc36c…f8b3backed Over | 44c | 148$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 42c | 143$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 57c | 142.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 117.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 58c | 113$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 68c | 109.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 57c | 101.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 32c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…fe2ebacked Under | 57c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 55c | 64.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…8be9backed Under | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 54.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 53.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Over | 43c | 52.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 48c | 49.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…3a17backed Under | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Over | 46c | 43.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…e204backed Over | 45c | 41.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…8403backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…3799backed Over | 45c | 39.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…cc19backed Over | 44c | 39.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 45c | 38.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702f…1d50backed Under | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…08fbbacked Under | 57c | 37.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 44c | 36.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 45c | 34.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 30c | 34.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…cd8fbacked Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Over | 45c | 33.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…4ceebacked Under | 57c | 31.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…8d89backed Over | 43c | 30.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…ea12backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 41c | 26.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Over | 76c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…9fc6backed Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Under | 57c | 20.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 55c | 20.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5this page
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.