Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe91bba7112942a0e783c3dc3f9f398a57dffc1ca718aef276cc9b8a611f4e9b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,367 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 55c | 22,128$12,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,169.84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 6,171$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.96 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 5,733$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.68 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 4,079$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.16 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,151$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 55c | 2,656$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 725.87$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.39 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Under | 62c | 711.19$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 557.3$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 45c | 555.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.69 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 36c | 422.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 38c | 367.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Under | 61c | 339$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 45c | 333.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.58 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 55c | 318.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 255$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Over | 45c | 231.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 44c | 227.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 56c | 225.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 45c | 222.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 201$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 153.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 131.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 125.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Over | 45c | 111.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 56c | 104.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Over | 45c | 100.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 46c | 100.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 94.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…3974backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 66c | 76.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Over | 47c | 74.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 57c | 64.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 56c | 48.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9a33backed Under | 55c | 48.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…40bbbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…4c2ebacked Under | 55c | 43.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…6708backed Over | 45c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.