Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x576ecb1b0496dd8708be066c6f2a2c9722cc77903ebe744a8ff8a852b09245e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 62c | 4,848$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 4,362$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.53 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 1,806$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.2 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 1,125$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.79 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 46c | 818.39$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 783.89$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 54c | 591.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.67 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 73c | 474.25$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 55c | 453.06$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.06 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 35c | 415.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 70c | 346.9$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 335.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.73 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 35c | 299.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 23c | 256.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 46c | 215.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 39c | 201.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 65c | 137.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 45c | 136.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 131.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 126.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 45c | 113.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 45c | 111.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 109.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 46c | 101.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 46c | 99.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 97.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 96.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 31c | 95.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 80.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 25c | 78.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 44c | 43.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed Over | 46c | 43.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 38c | 42.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 62c | 37.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 40c | 35.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…4fa0backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 49c | 33.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 35c | 32.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 65c | 30.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 67c | 27.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 56c | 25.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 53c | 24.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Under | 53c | 24.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…5a26backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Under | 53c | 22.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…6d67backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.