Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078702d829ef1dc321d16a1ecc02f6c97bb914b3304dd9ffedbbb11bf43c1bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 7c | 603.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 16c | 409.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 29c | 278.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 278.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 276$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 44c | 212.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 58c | 209.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 196.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 178.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 146.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Over | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 112.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 67c | 103.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked Over | 59c | 83.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 52.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 72c | 49.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 72c | 37.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 37c | 37.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…ced1backed Under | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Under | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 25.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 77c | 17.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.