Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef535a819f3eb79e97163094ff733e570f4135de3cb904f060e4cc8b70b1bd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 17c | 1,830$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 77c | 1,829$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.88 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 24c | 1,625$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.76 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 1,616$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 19c | 1,068$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 718.6$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 74c | 591.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 71c | 511.34$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 460$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 16c | 297.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 70c | 221.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 131$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 125.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 26c | 92.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 22c | 81.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 24c | 62.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 52.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Over | 26c | 44.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Over | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 31c | 32.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.