La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c0128edcfac93f2ec67446e43d6bbf6410854061c788e22481eba1fdd10c4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,768 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 61c | 156,403$95,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,061.19 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Under | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 90,315$35,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,809.22 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 36,837$14,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,341.4 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 39c | 12,181$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.4 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 8,200$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.95 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 39c | 6,303$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.1 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 53c | 5,400$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 39c | 4,759$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.01 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 39c | 4,618$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 44c | 4,600$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 39c | 4,432$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.31 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 39c | 4,286$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.73 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…5353backed Over | 64c | 3,513$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 78c | 3,176$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.76 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 52c | 2,874$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.7 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 38c | 2,633$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 2,355$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.92 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 40c | 2,230$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,920$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.35 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 61c | 1,885$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 65c | 1,700$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.91 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 1,694$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.32 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 62c | 1,671$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.13 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 17c | 1,606$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 61c | 1,573$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.72 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 1,430$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.28 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 39c | 1,429$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…4273backed Under | 2c | 1,375$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 40c | 1,368$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 38c | 999.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 42c | 971.05$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 39c | 936.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.43 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 50c | 931.22$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.77 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 823.61$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 30c | 777.02$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 57c | 688$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +84%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 580.65$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 39c | 493.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 42c | 476.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 39c | 468.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 39c | 420.54$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 55c | 398$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 52c | 383.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 54c | 383$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 39c | 382.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 39c | 320.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 39c | 293$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 55c | 263.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Over | 49c | 253.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 42c | 249.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 39c | 206.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 61c | 199.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 48c | 189.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Over | 43c | 184.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 39c | 183.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 41c | 180.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 42c | 160.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 57c | 146.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 63c | 138$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Elche CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.