TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,661 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x81ca…161ebacked Yes55c20,817$11,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,367.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c0…773dbacked No45c20,800$9,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,36010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked No0c15,940$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-63.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes59c15,000$8,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,175.822634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No41c9,523$3,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,904.310948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c8,413$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.574,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes57c5,888$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.989640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c4,490$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.3950149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes52c4,000$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9053762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c3,098$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.32,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No41c2,726$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.6861657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes56c2,000$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8891861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No44c1,575$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.8420159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No50c1,391$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.3311839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c1,248$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.011,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes57c1,243$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.4926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No43c1,213$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8979133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.0637829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes56c1,000$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.552166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes56c897.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.0620843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No46c796.78$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.523330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes51c782.35$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3521641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No43c685.88$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.938334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes42c612.28$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.998537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No44c598.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfcf…6dc5backed Yes61c516$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003070%21 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+69.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c64…0d1fbacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…4273backed No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed No45c444.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes56c442.77$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.829634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed No10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17222746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes52c387.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.726061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked No10c370.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.012213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes29c361.83$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6330842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes57c307$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.019237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes57c290$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.076440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes54c249$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes55c248.53$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.532934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No45c242.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.428550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c231.19$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.711,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed No49c204.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7c…9cd6backed No12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123171%22 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b8d…f78abacked Yes54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes51c194.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.252653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes45c189.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.741127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0e…62f0backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x036f…0dc1backed Yes56c180.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Yes28c179.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.643040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e2c…2038backed No45c175$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked Yes60c159.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9e…95c3backed No45c157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes51c153.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.216363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes65c153.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8317562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x28c4…48e3backed No11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes52c144.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.976645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed No46c141.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.582972.4%21 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes30c131.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.43240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd3…4489backed No45c131$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes57c123$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.94647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked No48c120.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.781040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed No13c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed No13c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Yes53c118.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No53c110.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.887339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed No41c109$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.693240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes56c100.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.325347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4419237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585529.1%16 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes57c87.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.879071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No43c84.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.563330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Yes53c80.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.911963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed Yes55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No26c76.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9913457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…589cbacked Yes57c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No50c68.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3912152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed No60c67.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa506…f93bbacked Yes50c60.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.411478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes22c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.89134.1%31 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae00…f6c8backed Yes57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe58…17a5backed Yes57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c59.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa20…e7e3backed Yes55c59.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.591060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked No77c58.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693180.6%25 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2927…05fcbacked Yes55c54.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.