TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elche CFof Villarreal CF, Elche CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,970 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Villarreal CF40c202,912$81,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,209.9710450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elche CF61c104,253$64,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,177.744,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Elche CF58c20,569$11,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,701.4490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb275…acf5backed Elche CF58c18,298$10,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,685.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Villarreal CF43c11,506$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elche CF58c10,909$6,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,582.2550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Elche CF58c9,936$5,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,173.217439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Elche CF58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9405757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Elche CF58c5,521$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.982040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Elche CF58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Elche CF56c3,939$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.2511839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Elche CF58c3,927$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.142,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Elche CF58c3,755$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.172356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Villarreal CF43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5055050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Elche CF58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Elche CF58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Elche CF57c2,631$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.338251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Elche CF59c2,309$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.733345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Elche CF58c1,842$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.6420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Elche CF58c1,810$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.220159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Elche CF59c1,707$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f1…93d9backed Villarreal CF42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+70.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Villarreal CF43c1,166$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.383151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Elche CF58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Villarreal CF42c899.93$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Elche CF24c894.3$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.088537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Elche CF58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0728055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e3…ad5abacked Villarreal CF42c850$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Villarreal CF43c841.15$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287e…6301backed Elche CF58c800$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Elche CF58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Villarreal CF42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71fa…0a8dbacked Elche CF59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14fe…acddbacked Villarreal CF42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Elche CF21c700$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5532962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Elche CF58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.664946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Elche CF59c599.99$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24612954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Elche CF58c543.02$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.074045%18 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Elche CF58c531.43$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.230749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Elche CF61c530.77$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.812152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Elche CF57c505.4$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Elche CF58c481.47$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2220245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Elche CF62c468.95$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3141147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Villarreal CF43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Villarreal CF43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Elche CF58c360$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.212951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Elche CF59c355.93$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.932369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Villarreal CF43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Elche CF59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Elche CF58c302.53$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.487339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Elche CF58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Elche CF58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12619750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Villarreal CF43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295657.1%32 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Villarreal CF43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Elche CF58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Elche CF58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Elche CF68c294.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.214062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Villarreal CF44c286.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12619130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Elche CF58c265.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2711354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Elche CF58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Elche CF58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Elche CF59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Villarreal CF26c244.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Villarreal CF42c235.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Elche CF54c228.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.21,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Elche CF62c211.18$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1127850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Elche CF58c199.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.828550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Elche CF58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Villarreal CF43c174.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7516036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Elche CF58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Elche CF58c171.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.134252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Elche CF59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cd…a968backed Villarreal CF41c169$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba52…fae1backed Villarreal CF41c156$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a2…ef0ebacked Villarreal CF42c155$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Elche CF58c154.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Elche CF58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6343255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…9196backed Villarreal CF41c142$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Elche CF58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.819652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Elche CF58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.89353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Elche CF59c138.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7718152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Elche CF58c133.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.133046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Elche CF58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.317844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Villarreal CF41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.253743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.419352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.421051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.418853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.419053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Elche CF58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.415747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Elche CF58c117.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.118155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Villarreal CF43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bdc…a29fbacked Villarreal CF43c113.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+49.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Elche CF58c104.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8914342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Elche CF20c102.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.86645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Elche CF58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.724445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.