La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11b02770bed8f8c67f812f92a50fe40ac9f934c0d7deec3f567d39b4c55dc44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,853 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 38c | 99,999$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,999.78 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 59,657$37,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,373.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 42,378$26,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,129.88 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 12c | 7,950$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 39c | 6,356$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 21c | 6,306$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.88 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 62c | 3,024$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.07 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 38c | 2,337$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.02 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 25c | 1,856$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.1 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 59c | 1,694$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 38c | 1,258$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.94 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 62c | 1,046$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.48 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 63c | 942.04$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.67 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 38c | 922.23$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 16c | 718$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 63c | 687.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 62c | 622$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.36 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 62c | 555.42$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 60c | 549.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 70c | 542.86$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 62c | 521.73$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.26 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 24c | 516.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 62c | 484$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 53c | 466.05$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 63c | 379.25$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 37c | 312.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 62c | 297.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 19c | 242$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 15c | 178.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 67c | 150.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 64c | 119.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 37c | 111.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 20c | 108.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ddcabacked Under | 62c | 106.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 39c | 103.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 38c | 95.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 72c | 90.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 33c | 89.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 61c | 87.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Over | 40c | 73.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…3608backed Under | 70c | 64.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 60c | 64.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 39c | 61.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 58.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Under | 62c | 56.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 53.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 51.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 77c | 51.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…83fcbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5a50backed Under | 62c | 49.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 61c | 47.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 50c | 45.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed Under | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Under | 62c | 40.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed Over | 38c | 38.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked Under | 50c | 38.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 62c | 35.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…d148backed Under | 65c | 30.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaa…1eb9backed Under | 65c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Elche CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.