Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kutaisi: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Semen Pankin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d3c63788784f77e7ca4e4bbd77cd14f51123b68d2375ee34c056d20d14e8282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Semen Pankinof Cyril Vandermeersch, Semen Pankin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Semen Pankin | 57c | 2,065$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 43c | 671.32$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.67 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 51c | 590.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.78 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 43c | 455.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 43c | 320.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Semen Pankin | 66c | 289.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Semen Pankin | 55c | 203.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 41c | 185.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Semen Pankin | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 29c | 137.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Semen Pankin | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 43c | 108.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 39c | 104.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Semen Pankin | 52c | 93.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 53c | 84.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6594backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 59c | 84.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…4b88backed Semen Pankin | 49c | 81.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Semen Pankin | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 56c | 53.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Semen Pankin | 47c | 51.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 50c | 50.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Semen Pankin | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Semen Pankin | 51c | 49.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 52c | 36.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Semen Pankin | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Semen Pankin | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Semen Pankin | 59c | 22.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.