Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Kerem Yilmaz vs Anton Matusevich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9188cf9eef7937d7fe1161758858092ccbbffe8e8d3b469bc32f0b2c08f74c7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anton Matusevichof Kerem Yilmaz, Anton Matusevich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anton Matusevich | 78c | 8,657$6,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Kerem Yilmaz | 24c | 8,517$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.55 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Kerem Yilmaz | 20c | 4,929$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anton Matusevich | 78c | 3,771$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.47 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kerem Yilmaz | 26c | 1,434$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kerem Yilmaz | 3c | 1,374$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Anton Matusevich | 64c | 1,026$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.41 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kerem Yilmaz | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Kerem Yilmaz | 11c | 999.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Anton Matusevich | 73c | 862.68$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Kerem Yilmaz | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Anton Matusevich | 47c | 522.25$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Kerem Yilmaz | 10c | 392.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kerem Yilmaz | 40c | 332.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kerem Yilmaz | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Kerem Yilmaz | 36c | 244.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kerem Yilmaz | 32c | 209$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Anton Matusevich | 69c | 180.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kerem Yilmaz | 47c | 174.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Kerem Yilmaz | 29c | 168.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Anton Matusevich | 70c | 157.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Kerem Yilmaz | 16c | 154.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Anton Matusevich | 61c | 141.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Anton Matusevich | 72c | 138.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kerem Yilmaz | 36c | 136.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Kerem Yilmaz | 12c | 129.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kerem Yilmaz | 29c | 124.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kerem Yilmaz | 31c | 120.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Kerem Yilmaz | 43c | 115.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kerem Yilmaz | 17c | 107.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Anton Matusevich | 71c | 79.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Anton Matusevich | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Anton Matusevich | 67c | 66.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kerem Yilmaz | 21c | 65.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anton Matusevich | 76c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kerem Yilmaz | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Anton Matusevich | 66c | 62.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Anton Matusevich | 42c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Anton Matusevich | 59c | 34.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Anton Matusevich | 64c | 31.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Anton Matusevich | 69c | 30.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Anton Matusevich | 77c | 20.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Anton Matusevich | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.