Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258492ceddf0645103b56d77bba5c0f7b52eda12c215591663f16cae23700360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 51c | 2,433$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 70c | 1,332$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 1,327$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 43c | 882.61$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.09 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 594.18$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Under | 76c | 538.61$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 516.54$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.53 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 6c | 478.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 465.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 78c | 397.07$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 41c | 373.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 38c | 313.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 287.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 40c | 268.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 220.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 162.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 40c | 156.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 41c | 121.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 61c | 112.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 54c | 111.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 94.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Under | 63c | 87.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…41e9backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Over | 35c | 78.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 60.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 59.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 49c | 57.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 42c | 56.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 39c | 54.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…5e89backed Under | 69c | 50.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 49.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 49.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 43c | 45.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 42.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 59c | 30.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.