Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf1f5189e466387d9cefdf7f8a73bdd4b77d9bab01a6fdbf64583cc05cad0a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c65…1140backed Under | 42c | 1,777$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,132$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 7c | 1,074$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 56c | 1,073$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 38c | 699.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 680$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.59 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 61c | 608.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 458.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 75c | 397.07$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Over | 46c | 391.48$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 357.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 62c | 289.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 20c | 271.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 48c | 248.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 75c | 240.77$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 223.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 162.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…03fcbacked Under | 21c | 154.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 57c | 138.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 57c | 131.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 114.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 63c | 109.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 35c | 105.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 89.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 88.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 62c | 83.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 58c | 79.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 73.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 39c | 62.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 37c | 57.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 62c | 49.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 45.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Under | 26c | 44.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 62c | 33.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 79c | 32.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 42c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 59c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…ed4ebacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…2941backed Over | 65c | 19.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 69c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.