Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c4e37daa5dfc10e461c569e2b379fe19084e84daffc264bc897700333c1676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sandefjord Fotballof Molde FK, Sandefjord Fotball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c65…1140backed Sandefjord Fotball | 47c | 963.83$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Molde FK | 57c | 490.51$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Molde FK | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sandefjord Fotball | 64c | 237$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sandefjord Fotball | 39c | 209.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sandefjord Fotball | 22c | 195.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Molde FK | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Molde FK | 36c | 146.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Molde FK | 36c | 98.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Sandefjord Fotball | 66c | 74.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…4f2dbacked Sandefjord Fotball | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Molde FK | 33c | 54.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sandefjord Fotball | 64c | 49.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sandefjord Fotball | 64c | 42.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Molde FK | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Molde FK | 36c | 36.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Molde FK | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sandefjord Fotball | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)this page
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.