Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Carboni
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a6cd1e78c40edefe3aed6ee6abc62db14291fd7051e3f4da0506efa5dd8b34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlo Alberto Caniatoof Carlo Alberto Caniato, Lorenzo Carboni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 65c | 6,185$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.6 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Carboni | 26c | 1,710$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 64c | 1,271$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.07 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lorenzo Carboni | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Lorenzo Carboni | 50c | 622.14$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 62c | 531.74$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lorenzo Carboni | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Carboni | 28c | 494.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 32c | 456.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 44c | 419.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Lorenzo Carboni | 48c | 373$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 67c | 306.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 59c | 203.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Lorenzo Carboni | 36c | 202.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 77c | 196.73$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 56c | 180.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 48c | 172.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 58c | 169.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 28c | 169.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Lorenzo Carboni | 25c | 135.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…5826backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 77c | 130.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lorenzo Carboni | 42c | 125.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 69c | 123.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 59c | 115.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 29c | 101.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 212 | 59.4%126 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Carboni | 26c | 95.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 59c | 92.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 72c | 80.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Lorenzo Carboni | 44c | 77.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Lorenzo Carboni | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Lorenzo Carboni | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 75c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lorenzo Carboni | 23c | 73.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…4145backed Lorenzo Carboni | 21c | 73.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Lorenzo Carboni | 22c | 72.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Lorenzo Carboni | 43c | 58.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…3a00backed Lorenzo Carboni | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…44b8backed Lorenzo Carboni | 55c | 54.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lorenzo Carboni | 35c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 69c | 45.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Lorenzo Carboni | 31c | 43.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 37c | 43.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Lorenzo Carboni | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeeb…128cbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 35c | 40.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lorenzo Carboni | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 40c | 39.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 41c | 35.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 79c | 35.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 74c | 33.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 66c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Lorenzo Carboni | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 77c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 56c | 22.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 69c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.