TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c10,377$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.122,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over57c7,394$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.1818923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Over6c4,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick5cpaid+1,112.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over54c3,634$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.843441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under16c3,533$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c3,139$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.1134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under16c2,382$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.5827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under66c2,282$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over61c1,897$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over50c1,204$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60223345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under15c1,190$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48031738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Over4c959.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fac…2f27backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed Under50c793.46$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.86425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over74c761.94$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.243058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over53c752.26$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.563520%7 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under27c679.27$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.084721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Under55c673$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.23988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under60c651$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.66567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under17c572$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over54c555$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.33243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under18c540.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c501$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Under42c471.34$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.91010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-80.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181250%6 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under70c420$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.952857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c369.56$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9841144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c329.79$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.31,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over63c300$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11215844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under17c293$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6515354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c252.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6522545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over63c219.31$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.87552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under18c215.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.756852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9620452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over67c187.79$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.972290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under16c182.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1532854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over79c181.45$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.451181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c178.74$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over74c169.55$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.552138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8af…44dcbacked Over39c166$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932785.2%23 W · 4 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over32c143.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+170.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under35c141.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under18c135.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.384271.4%30 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Over54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac52…b882backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over28c126.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+260.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under46c125.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.64942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89d…6f39backed Over60c117.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over61c116.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.39580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Over10c115.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.482123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under18c109.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ec…3b7bbacked Over61c108$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Over14c104$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.381040%4 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+141.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Over12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.133030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over51c96.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.083345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under49c95.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over75c93.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.330828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over79c83.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5814351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8de…e1d4backed Over39c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5234553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed Over64c77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f84…00edbacked Over52c76.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under35c71.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under20c68.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6517354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over72c67.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+116.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under18c65.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under33c64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2313157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under28c60.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0511360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over56c59.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over49c54.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5821748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eeb…f331backed Under60c48.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.177065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over79c46.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.826100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over48c45.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8614442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over63c44.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.554963.3%31 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over54c41.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.945058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.