Serie A · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa37dab5fdc520c26e6ef810a5c1d84ed8cc76ba9449c4673fd91f42777ceff95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hellas Verona FCof FC Internazionale Milano, Hellas Verona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hellas Verona FC | 78c | 2,170$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed FC Internazionale Milano | 32c | 1,222$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Internazionale Milano | 20c | 755.49$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed FC Internazionale Milano | 18c | 706.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 26c | 440$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hellas Verona FC | 64c | 386.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hellas Verona FC | 64c | 363.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked FC Internazionale Milano | 36c | 278.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Hellas Verona FC | 76c | 265.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 193.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 180.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 22c | 156.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed FC Internazionale Milano | 14c | 116.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 39c | 103.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed FC Internazionale Milano | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed FC Internazionale Milano | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Hellas Verona FC | 75c | 91.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Internazionale Milano | 37c | 81.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0338backed Hellas Verona FC | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Internazionale Milano | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 38c | 62.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 75c | 58.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed FC Internazionale Milano | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed FC Internazionale Milano | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Hellas Verona FC | 70c | 39.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…937cbacked Hellas Verona FC | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 28.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Hellas Verona FC | 76c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Hellas Verona FC | 74c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Hellas Verona FC | 76c | 20.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.