Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f63f4efe0392694558a3e17460f3b8f573d6f9bd846b51db3948fe5fe76ead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 27c | 7,984$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.78 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 6,154$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 18c | 3,800$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 1,994$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.74 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 1,501$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.37 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 11c | 1,182$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 37c | 988.57$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.64 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 61c | 972.49$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 66c | 835.43$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 621.88$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.66 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 19c | 294.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 61c | 231.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 62c | 153.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Over | 38c | 139.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 66c | 101.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 25c | 79.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 65c | 75.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 63.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 78c | 61.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 66c | 55.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 65c | 55.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 34c | 47.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 35c | 46.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 66c | 40.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 63c | 39.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 66c | 26.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Under | 66c | 26.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 63c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 78c | 18.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 17.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 65c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Under | 66c | 15.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.