MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a17098115af373d1d1b9b827038bb5ee5d155281789b6cdc25b31655fe14da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 49c | 2,712$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.89 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,331$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.06 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.54 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 52c | 1,153$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.03 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 1,067$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.46 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 61c | 961.61$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.96 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 51c | 954.81$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.25 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 872.42$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.93 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 51c | 846.36$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.65 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 48c | 749.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 717.61$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.27 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 698.92$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.45 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 49c | 696.98$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.21 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 570.89$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.83 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 503.14$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.38 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 420.9$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 403.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 349.65$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 336.8$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 59c | 310.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 44c | 309.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 76c | 306.69$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 52c | 279.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 247.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 238.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 237.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Over | 52c | 207.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 59c | 178.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 36c | 155.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 58c | 154.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 129$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 63c | 127.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 126$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 116.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 44c | 111.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 41c | 110.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 44c | 104.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 53c | 100.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Under | 49c | 85.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 49c | 83.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 54c | 78.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 68c | 77.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 52c | 74.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 65.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 50c | 62.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 45c | 59.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 50c | 55.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 55.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 49c | 50.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 47.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 53c | 46.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 52c | 46.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…c01dbacked Over | 52c | 41.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 37.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 49c | 36.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Over | 58c | 31.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Under | 55c | 29.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 59c | 28.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Under | 48c | 27.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Under | 44c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 77c | 25.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Over | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 78c | 24.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 77c | 24.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 75c | 24.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 58c | 23.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 52c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Under | 52c | 23.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Over | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.