TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa048…dd23backed Under49c2,712$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.893441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over52c2,331$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.0612551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.841,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over52c1,457$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.5411744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over52c1,153$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.0348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c1,067$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.461,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over61c961.61$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.961,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over51c954.81$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2522753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c872.42$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.939,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over51c846.36$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.655862.1%36 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under48c749.96$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9821052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c717.61$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.271,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under49c698.92$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4527449.3%135 W · 139 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under49c696.98$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2157551.7%297 W · 278 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c570.89$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.836,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c503.14$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.381,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c420.9$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.872,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c403.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.472,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1238455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under55c349.65$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.596,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over51c336.8$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7724450%122 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over59c310.44$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6110744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under44c309.7$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.253,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under76c306.69$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3778146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Over52c279.43$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.695341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over51c247.29$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.122,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c238.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.551,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c237.68$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.075,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Over52c207.31$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.83458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over59c178.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0855464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over36c155.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.871,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over58c154.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.651,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c129$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7975049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under63c127.91$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.252,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c126$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0799924.6%246 W · 753 L-70.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c116.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2949649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under44c111.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8570154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under41c110.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.36,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under44c104.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5317244.2%76 W · 96 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.179444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over53c100.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4548150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.983040%12 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Under49c85.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under49c83.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.892,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over54c78.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.242241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over68c77.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9913260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under52c74.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9967742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over45c65.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7829047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over53c64.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0148651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Under50c62.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.049448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over45c59.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.431,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under50c55.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.862,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under48c55.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8125249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under49c50.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7172648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…5891backed Over51c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.228845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.721,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over48c47.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6782551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over53c46.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.022661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over52c46.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1522948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a1…c01dbacked Over52c41.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over52c38.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.224152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc3backed Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c37.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.771,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4236157.9%209 W · 152 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Over52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4220446.6%95 W · 109 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under49c36.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5815858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Over58c31.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.125367.9%36 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under44c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Under49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1330450.7%154 W · 150 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Under55c29.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.192025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+76.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over59c28.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1223854.2%129 W · 109 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c28.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d8…85f8backed Under48c27.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.193644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over57c26.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over52c26.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.617450.6%88 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under43c25.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5866749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed Under44c25.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over77c25.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4719855.1%109 W · 89 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Over58c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6211855.9%66 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over78c24.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4830454.3%165 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over77c24.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7522154.3%120 W · 101 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Under49c24.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3618751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Over75c24.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0118651.1%95 W · 91 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Over58c23.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over52c23.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1437143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed Under52c23.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119562.1%59 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over61c19.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.914,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8911…5ffabacked Over62c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.542646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under63c15.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8726752.8%141 W · 126 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.