Golf · resolved market

Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9baee709f9fedfb8b81e41cbe87dea76ff612c6884a1801f245645fd5136ccb8

Rebuilt 28 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,625 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	35c	2,637$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.41	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	62c	1,000$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc88e…67f2backed No	64c	755.55$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	26c	659.48$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.47	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No	56c	655$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.41	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	64c	500$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	65c	496$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked No	65c	461.53$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.54	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	58c	380$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.6	137	39.4%54 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No	74c	304.57$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	65c	300$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	58c	235$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.9	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc15…cca6backed No	66c	127$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.18	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	69c	100.01$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No	58c	93$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.06	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No	66c	80$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe6e…2313backed No	65c	80$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	58c	69$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.98	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No	67c	65$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	66c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed Yes	42c	51.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8a…1f78backed No	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…cf85backed No	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…a252backed No	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b3…9a65backed No	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	48c	42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+32%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	47c	34.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	59c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	64c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Yes	47c	23.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	75c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	71cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked No	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90e…03b6backed No	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event