Golf · resolved market

Will Manuel Elvira finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c8c720f5fdbc73c246fe086389dd5b57d23cd274e8f84c45e0df8367252dd45

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,999 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	76c	2,360$1,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.34	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed Yes	24c	1,555$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.2	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	24c	600$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc15…cca6backed Yes	24c	482$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.68	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	24c	125.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	24c	122$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes	28c	120$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	21c	111$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcca4…abb1backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No	75c	64.22$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.05	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e38…e544backed Yes	25c	64.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42e…a252backed Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…a246backed Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manuel Elvira finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event