TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa974…ef79backed Under56c5,142$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.7222047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over42c3,334$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.9327351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under48c2,027$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.6914340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under57c1,977$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.7250153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under55c1,444$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.21,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c1,439$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.11,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c1,410$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.072,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over49c1,395$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.634548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over43c1,318$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.5148850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under48c1,304$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.826048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c1,223$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.516,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over46c1,167$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.1492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c1,058$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.011,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under55c1,024$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.621855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3d…33e9backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over52c999.21$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.621,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Over52c997.68$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under59c975.4$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.4912551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed Over53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.759350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over41c888.4$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.156048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over53c757.85$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.146,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f1f…421cbacked Over51c725$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over46c425.74$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.948354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Under59c420.4$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.038446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under61c401.09$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.131,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over42c336.15$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.931,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c325$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over58c245.56$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.955,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under59c244.24$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.161,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under48c220.77$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9717652.8%93 W · 83 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under54c216.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6966551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5948150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c207.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.81,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under58c206.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.691,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c193.48$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.042,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over36c188.44$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.629950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over45c181.82$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.34257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over46c157.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1948651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over44c152.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.747339.7%29 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over52c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7527248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c130.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.086,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under60c97.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5643247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over46c96.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2561948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under55c86.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.669553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Over52c85.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.044742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over46c84.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.441,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over46c83.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2179543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under41c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.961,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under65c80.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2652955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Under59c68.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2847848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ba…9ea6backed Over42c63.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over41c48.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.351,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under30c47.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x959b…64edbacked Under59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.393253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under55c38.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4186653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under42c36.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5282551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over62c29.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over46c29.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.061,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over37c29.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.532,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Over45c29.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under63c28.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.127635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Over45c28.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Over45c28.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Over45c27.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a56…695bbacked Over45c26.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over45c26.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.523046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Over45c26.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.342142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed Over45c25.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under58c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6220955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over46c25.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5918751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Under61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2521554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over46c23.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.629255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under59c23.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6689950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Under66c22.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.037556%42 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under59c21.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6812541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.435547.3%168 W · 187 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…fbebbacked Over78c19.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c19.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3366749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over79c15.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.321,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.