NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa015e02485b6ad7edcf51d2d215b61a4d900d3f5c0fe83fe354e3081705cdce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 19,196$10,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,156.29 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 7,237$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 47c | 4,999$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.23 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,880$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.02 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 6c | 1,688$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 1,681$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.06 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.35 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 6c | 1,412$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 46c | 1,316$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.64 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 78c | 942.42$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 912.91$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.01 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Over | 53c | 652.55$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 47c | 640.34$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.52 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Under | 49c | 430.1$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 420.86$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 51c | 352.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 332.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 53c | 317.21$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 32c | 295$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 288.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 280.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 48c | 268.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 257.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 73c | 234.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…e76abacked Over | 19c | 180.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…fb06backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Over | 52c | 174.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 68c | 132.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 47c | 119.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 52c | 107.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 75c | 90.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 47c | 82.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 49c | 78.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Under | 52c | 78.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Under | 49c | 72.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 47c | 60.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 53.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 47c | 52.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 47c | 48.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 52c | 48.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 52c | 43.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 39.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…f684backed Under | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…44c8backed Under | 49c | 35.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 47c | 32.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 50c | 32.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 31.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Under | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Under | 75c | 30.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…0afebacked Over | 52c | 28.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 46c | 26.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 54c | 26.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd328…8b13backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 24.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Under | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 47c | 22.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Over | 54c | 18.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.