TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,620 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Kings51c69,975$35,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,291.8916442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Avalanche49c53,929$26,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,425.187545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche49c7,763$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.3727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche31c4,117$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.3258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc645…e8bbbacked Avalanche49c2,971$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.551668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche49c2,557$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.511,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche48c2,202$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.571,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings53c1,244$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.41,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Avalanche47c1,229$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.83135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Kings74c1,132$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.899562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Avalanche49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.747256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kings75c880.54$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.971,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Kings61c835.08$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.815240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Kings69c603.38$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.949545.3%43 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Avalanche29c523.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.874443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings32c508$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.852,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Kings59c450$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.662045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings50c441$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Avalanche49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8811245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Avalanche50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19416554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Kings52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Avalanche33c329.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1915535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings50c319.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.881,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Avalanche39c300.45$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.169231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Avalanche50c290.13$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1112733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Avalanche49c276.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7248552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Avalanche49c274.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.737038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche30c262.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9361848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd1…7511backed Avalanche49c261.01$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.896352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Kings51c253.12$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.035358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Avalanche49c242.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7540%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Kings51c232.94$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1456553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Kings51c232.89$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Kings69c209.33$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.261,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd9…f8c1backed Avalanche50c194.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb46f…ee5abacked Kings52c187.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Avalanche27c179.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.819033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kings50c172.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7615560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Avalanche49c172.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5531744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Avalanche50c150.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…5c3cbacked Kings80c147.04$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Avalanche28c142.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1641050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Avalanche36c119.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5121355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5974…2a69backed Kings52c107.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.793050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Avalanche42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4231148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Avalanche49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.479760.8%59 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Kings61c97.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0915265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Kings58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9426136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Avalanche51c97.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4945069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Avalanche49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.528542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche30c96.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9749851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Kings51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.633429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Kings51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche22c93.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1239344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Avalanche17c92.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9624946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Kings51c90.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.291346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kings51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.486049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Kings47c86.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.849141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Kings51c75.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.19156%51 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings61c74.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.423,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Avalanche32c74.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9810444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Kings49c72.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.084254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Avalanche49c67.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e9…f199backed Avalanche48c66.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Kings51c66.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4616755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Avalanche40c64.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7847024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Kings57c58.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.358347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Kings51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Avalanche50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2571952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d2…380bbacked Kings52c47.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.98252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10c1…e170backed Kings52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Kings52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4110256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Avalanche38c39.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0428847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Avalanche50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.416945%76 W · 93 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Kings52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9319548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Avalanche43c36.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.024427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Avalanche29c34.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1426154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed Avalanche43c33.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.494652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Kings51c32.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acd…d7e7backed Avalanche49c29.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…d0b5backed Avalanche47c28.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0e…5184backed Kings51c28.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked Kings52c26.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.953759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Kings54c24.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.183943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb67…d164backed Avalanche49c24.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610f…f6c3backed Avalanche49c23.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Kings54c20.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.422871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Kings50c20.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.214161%25 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac9…47a9backed Kings61c19.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Kings74c19.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1214855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Kings70c15.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.715147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.