Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Tung-Lin Wu vs Rigele Te
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e94dd2ba7432f95438d294ca834fa9e9893b5f8ed66500dd77217157b34893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tung-Lin Wuof Tung-Lin Wu, Rigele Te
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rigele Te | 6c | 2,774$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Rigele Te | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rigele Te | 9c | 1,422$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Rigele Te | 16c | 918.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Rigele Te | 16c | 890.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Rigele Te | 10c | 889.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed Rigele Te | 4c | 874.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +237.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Rigele Te | 5c | 697.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Rigele Te | 14c | 589.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Rigele Te | 9c | 579.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rigele Te | 13c | 520.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Rigele Te | 5c | 393.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rigele Te | 14c | 392.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Rigele Te | 17c | 370.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…18a9backed Rigele Te | 17c | 370$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Rigele Te | 14c | 369$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rigele Te | 14c | 364.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Rigele Te | 7c | 308.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Rigele Te | 17c | 286.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Rigele Te | 17c | 213.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Rigele Te | 7c | 180.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Rigele Te | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Rigele Te | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rigele Te | 15c | 138.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Rigele Te | 15c | 130.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rigele Te | 14c | 119.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Rigele Te | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Rigele Te | 17c | 76.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Rigele Te | 17c | 72.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Rigele Te | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rigele Te | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Tung-Lin Wu | 79c | 41.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Tung-Lin Wu | 80c | 23.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Tung-Lin Wu | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.