Fifa International · resolved market
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df9d36d13d8b0074517c6ff2d9667950a1a5870662fdbf6ed1c96553dbdffb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x533c…2658backed Yes | 35c | 3,620$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.42 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 67c | 2,393$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.03 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abf…7db5backed No | 68c | 1,202$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 69c | 436.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Yes | 46c | 348.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 59c | 319.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…dc2abacked No | 67c | 303.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…2710backed Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…d89abacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 240.32$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 49c | 170$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 62c | 157.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 40c | 147$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 10c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked No | 70c | 127.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 60c | 77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 72.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 16c | 67.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 46c | 49.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…5199backed Yes | 51c | 46.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 52c | 46.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…37d4backed Yes | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 49c | 34.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 49c | 34.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Yes | 50c | 33.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 52c | 32.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 43c | 32.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 62c | 24.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 71c | 23.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?this page
- Will "Dynamite" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?No won
- Will "Waka Waka" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.