South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ae4c52acadc88ad81e6ba4e56a73958d7689957df190349ba39583c30a797e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Pueblaof CF Monterrey, Club Puebla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Puebla | 73c | 492.08$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed CF Monterrey | 39c | 460.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Puebla | 60c | 391.19$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Puebla | 73c | 364.43$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CF Monterrey | 42c | 324.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed CF Monterrey | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked CF Monterrey | 25c | 295.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed CF Monterrey | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Puebla | 70c | 233.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Puebla | 59c | 210.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Puebla | 59c | 210.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed CF Monterrey | 42c | 149.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked CF Monterrey | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Club Puebla | 60c | 109.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Puebla | 58c | 90.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked CF Monterrey | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Club Puebla | 61c | 39.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed CF Monterrey | 39c | 35.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…fbd6backed CF Monterrey | 39c | 35.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Puebla | 60c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Club Puebla | 58c | 26.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Club Puebla | 58c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Club Puebla | 73c | 14.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)this page
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.