South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb169739415d26140d2636aea26f53fbee0c98e0e4d5d9bc7d925f82d315898af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 51c | 1,150$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 905.34$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.73 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 799.33$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.77 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 46c | 774.57$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 665.05$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.95 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 639.01$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.11 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 516.79$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 56c | 391.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 37c | 346.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 32c | 302.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 47c | 299.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.16 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 270.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 37c | 217.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 209.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 176.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 164.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 63c | 133.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 98.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 90.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 51c | 76.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 66c | 71.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 62c | 64.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 30c | 56.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 45c | 51.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…ef1abacked Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 57c | 41.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 41.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…4690backed Over | 37c | 35.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 57c | 27.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 63c | 26.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 44c | 26.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 67c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…7a02backed Over | 57c | 20.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 60c | 17.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 80c | 13.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.