Tennis · resolved market
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Danka Kovinic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5486d7d8e0cae070f412c9e08cf6db13514dd4aec2552c92106293231e39a30b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fiona Ferroof Fiona Ferro, Danka Kovinic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Danka Kovinic | 10c | 9,622$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Danka Kovinic | 1c | 5,003$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Danka Kovinic | 11c | 2,909$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.22 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Danka Kovinic | 10c | 2,907$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Danka Kovinic | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Danka Kovinic | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Danka Kovinic | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Danka Kovinic | 11c | 796.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Danka Kovinic | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Danka Kovinic | 2c | 697.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Danka Kovinic | 11c | 681$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Danka Kovinic | 8c | 619.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Danka Kovinic | 4c | 513.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Danka Kovinic | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Danka Kovinic | 12c | 165.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Danka Kovinic | 7c | 153.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Danka Kovinic | 11c | 149.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Danka Kovinic | 12c | 147.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Danka Kovinic | 10c | 120.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Danka Kovinic | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Danka Kovinic | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.