TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Alexandre Muller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yibing Wuof Yibing Wu, Alexandre Muller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Yibing Wu50c7,363$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.448,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Yibing Wu53c6,478$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.513850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Alexandre Muller47c5,963$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.622242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Alexandre Muller48c5,015$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.4553655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Yibing Wu52c4,925$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.061540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6d…3ef9backed Alexandre Muller53c3,421$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yibing Wu46c3,313$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.1111843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Alexandre Muller57c2,929$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.4541060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Alexandre Muller2c2,100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41603.3%2 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-92%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandre Muller52c1,938$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.526,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf967…852cbacked Yibing Wu52c1,553$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+152.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Yibing Wu53c1,417$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.991,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Alexandre Muller47c1,260$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2915952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexandre Muller36c1,220$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.2611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yibing Wu52c1,139$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.7853843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alexandre Muller46c1,059$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.187,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Yibing Wu48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52032247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Yibing Wu47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53031736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Yibing Wu52c780.4$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.591,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Yibing Wu36c744.83$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.224,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf5c…3872backed Yibing Wu52c690.66$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…8a14backed Yibing Wu52c680.25$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yibing Wu50c631.7$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.855,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexandre Muller22c607.6$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.674,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Alexandre Muller55c602$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yibing Wu48c588.87$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.778,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Yibing Wu53c565.86$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.6715850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yibing Wu51c529.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3210161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Yibing Wu49c520$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.231841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Alexandre Muller67c495.58$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.321,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yibing Wu78c483.5$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3236157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yibing Wu48c456.24$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.347,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yibing Wu49c450$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.51,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alexandre Muller26c364.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.896,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yibing Wu47c354.8$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.882,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yibing Wu48c351.38$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.431,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yibing Wu54c341.65$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Alexandre Muller47c322.41$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5334549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Alexandre Muller49c301.51$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.572,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yibing Wu48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Alexandre Muller48c286.02$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.292360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alexandre Muller35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Yibing Wu50c232$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3325245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Alexandre Muller50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11537238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Alexandre Muller47c225.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0738931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Yibing Wu52c213.42$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4460856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Alexandre Muller50c211.46$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.735158.8%30 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yibing Wu48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked Alexandre Muller50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yibing Wu49c197.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8614540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yibing Wu74c196.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1915442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yibing Wu50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9733055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x566a…881abacked Alexandre Muller47c191.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Alexandre Muller47c189.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.889743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yibing Wu52c154.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4448552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Yibing Wu49c149.9$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.451,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Yibing Wu50c149.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9339842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Alexandre Muller52c149.72$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6935157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Alexandre Muller68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0873458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Alexandre Muller51c142.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.84146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Yibing Wu75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yibing Wu48c121.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.83,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Alexandre Muller44c115.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5359954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…5e62backed Yibing Wu43c113.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.215957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Alexandre Muller47c112.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yibing Wu48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5234154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yibing Wu52c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5596844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Yibing Wu70c98.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.461,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alexandre Muller55c91.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.472,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Yibing Wu77c89.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6236264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Alexandre Muller34c89.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4656827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yibing Wu43c71.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8426953.2%143 W · 126 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Yibing Wu49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.78554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Yibing Wu54c69.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yibing Wu47c65.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.92,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1b…c69cbacked Alexandre Muller29c63.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.627638.2%29 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yibing Wu47c62.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.953,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yibing Wu49c60.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Alexandre Muller54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.474955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Yibing Wu48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yibing Wu56c59.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.084,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Alexandre Muller50c58.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.293423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Yibing Wu50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.16956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Yibing Wu50c57.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5425751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Yibing Wu48c53.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.971,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Alexandre Muller49c51.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.232043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yibing Wu50c46.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.443,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd6…8373backed Alexandre Muller52c44.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.318755.2%48 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd540…f3dbbacked Alexandre Muller57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yibing Wu50c41.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0110063%63 W · 37 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yibing Wu48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9931563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Yibing Wu50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47665.8%50 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22c8…6c7bbacked Yibing Wu51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Alexandre Muller49c37.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f8…a16abacked Alexandre Muller52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e0…b68abacked Yibing Wu54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.577758.4%45 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yibing Wu51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1514443.1%62 W · 82 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9f…b0d4backed Alexandre Muller50c34.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…ad85backed Alexandre Muller48c33.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Yibing Wu62c31.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.911,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.