Golf · resolved market

Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05103c4df620b233fc1beff93e1239e1b4fc749d0d0ee79285d4e97f6b46528

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,827 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf278…d787backed No	59c	720$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.2	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	37c	486.54$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.02	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Yes	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No	58c	170.6$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.42	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes	43c	168.04$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.42	75	29.3%22 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	41c	150$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc15…cca6backed Yes	41c	119$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.79	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed No	63c	111.19$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.14	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	40c	99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	41c	60$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.25per pick	52cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x266b…afaabacked Yes	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 57 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event