TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rome: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jacopo Vasami

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacopo Vasamiof Gianluca Cadenasso, Jacopo Vasami
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Gianluca Cadenasso46c10,372$4,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,751.5512146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jacopo Vasami58c4,428$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.786,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Gianluca Cadenasso62c3,967$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.6179855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jacopo Vasami76c3,806$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.354,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Jacopo Vasami64c1,872$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.7954345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jacopo Vasami63c1,804$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.134,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jacopo Vasami48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.52,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gianluca Cadenasso17c1,189$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gianluca Cadenasso34c1,083$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.83,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0551…3d39backed Jacopo Vasami46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0240…fa10backed Jacopo Vasami45c824.94$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Jacopo Vasami46c716.86$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.158232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Gianluca Cadenasso24c703.88$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9930225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Jacopo Vasami47c615.91$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.435158.8%30 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Jacopo Vasami45c595.03$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0827231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Gianluca Cadenasso53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Gianluca Cadenasso54c486.2$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Jacopo Vasami45c432.41$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.833151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa41…2239backed Gianluca Cadenasso18c393.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9115751%80 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Jacopo Vasami48c389.4$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.499643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso20c376.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9438013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso54c361.11$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4629444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Jacopo Vasami63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8518133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jacopo Vasami56c298.76$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.495,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Jacopo Vasami64c229.31$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5517348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc4…143cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso54c216.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.695251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Jacopo Vasami46c209.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.411,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Jacopo Vasami42c202.73$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.92,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Gianluca Cadenasso53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso26c182.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.661,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Gianluca Cadenasso55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.325957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Jacopo Vasami47c164.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3432554.2%176 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jacopo Vasami46c154.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.252,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Jacopo Vasami64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0410461.5%64 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jacopo Vasami47c144.42$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5412147.1%57 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73dd…6e9ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso37c142.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.371947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Gianluca Cadenasso39c141.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.861,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc322…a836backed Gianluca Cadenasso53c141.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9710955%60 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jacopo Vasami45c140.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.027,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Gianluca Cadenasso22c140.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6373549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a8…cbeabacked Gianluca Cadenasso55c137.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.758263.4%52 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso20c126.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7257953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x616f…6834backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c121.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Gianluca Cadenasso52c119$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8896755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Jacopo Vasami45c108.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4897141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jacopo Vasami41c102.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.212,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Jacopo Vasami45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Jacopo Vasami46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5438741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b3…f8c1backed Gianluca Cadenasso22c99.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3915641.7%65 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Gianluca Cadenasso56c97.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7742344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso43c91.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.211,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Gianluca Cadenasso15c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.221,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Jacopo Vasami46c87.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.510751.4%55 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Jacopo Vasami44c86.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.551,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Gianluca Cadenasso52c85.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3470456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Gianluca Cadenasso53c82.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2938664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jacopo Vasami48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.639,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso55c70.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9126953.2%143 W · 126 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso41c70.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.952254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso54c63.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1377047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Gianluca Cadenasso52c60.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4142358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Jacopo Vasami46c58.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3524547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x728f…133cbacked Jacopo Vasami45c54.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Jacopo Vasami66c54.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.332,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Gianluca Cadenasso53c53.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.351,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Gianluca Cadenasso55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.192,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Jacopo Vasami42c48.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9912734.6%44 W · 83 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Jacopo Vasami75c46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Gianluca Cadenasso54c45.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3151347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe6…8760backed Gianluca Cadenasso59c43.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.671050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gianluca Cadenasso28c41.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.598,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso57c41.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9115146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Gianluca Cadenasso54c41.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2741668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Jacopo Vasami44c38.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4433055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Jacopo Vasami46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.913552.6%71 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d9…3624backed Gianluca Cadenasso57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.489153.8%49 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2f…b4b4backed Jacopo Vasami48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.684839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Jacopo Vasami77c33.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7367178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Jacopo Vasami47c33.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.723850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Jacopo Vasami45c33.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3556817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Gianluca Cadenasso61c32.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5355059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Jacopo Vasami53c31.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.177041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Gianluca Cadenasso52c31.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1624837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…ffdebacked Gianluca Cadenasso44c30.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.543770.3%26 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso52c30.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6611331%35 W · 78 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Gianluca Cadenasso53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7554050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Gianluca Cadenasso54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5934957.6%201 W · 148 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Jacopo Vasami54c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4619474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Jacopo Vasami46c26.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.325745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b8…b312backed Gianluca Cadenasso57c25.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.617669.7%53 W · 23 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Jacopo Vasami46c25.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfb…63f6backed Gianluca Cadenasso57c22.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.068754%47 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb37a…17c4backed Gianluca Cadenasso52c22.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.655759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Gianluca Cadenasso57c21.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.566452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…3be3backed Gianluca Cadenasso52c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6816459.8%98 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Jacopo Vasami58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.48072.5%58 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8161…e08ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso54c19.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.514553.1%77 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7375…d8d4backed Gianluca Cadenasso55c19.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.545244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.