TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,103 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over28c6,922$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.728223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over28c1,401$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.296728.4%19 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc138…c75dbacked Over2c1,170$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.951118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under73c1,011$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.91586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over15c962.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.17160%0 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over27c901.95$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5360%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec15…665fbacked Over6c784.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Over30c686.57$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.971612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Under73c673.84$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.94540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under73c673.75$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.852871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb4…7a9cbacked Over4c594.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x431f…be71backed Over2c583.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0860%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…0979backed Over4c576.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8915…3b33backed Over4c561.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-64.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over2c517.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3520639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b7a…c1d0backed Over8c495.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.44825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3386…be96backed Over3c484.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0860%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over28c478.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.955123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over28c478.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9513234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa83d…b699backed Over3c418.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c365.95$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.543252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under73c337.63$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.62766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under72c283.81$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.194252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under73c270.71$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.993174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over6c207.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.274812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over28c198.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.592520%5 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.842532%8 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3937…b39dbacked Over12c170.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524a…7eefbacked Over12c170.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-64.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over28c142.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8250247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9223…330ebacked Under78c139.58$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over27c139.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2260748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under72c117.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.117045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe50…6eb6backed Under72c111.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.742470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under72c109.83$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7525659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under76c108.06$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.042277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under77c100.4$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Under74c99.21$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under72c99.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7629746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over29c99.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.725450%27 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Over29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.723534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7df…4158backed Over28c95.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.79425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under73c95.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.391675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Over28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.922825%7 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.924330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over28c80.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.448243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over26c76.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0229034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under75c74.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.866352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under75c74.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.865362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under75c74.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.868259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under75c74.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.863663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over27c72.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2533844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under74c71.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.525653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb2a…7ec6backed Over27c70.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1260%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e7…4168backed Under73c68.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.142326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Under73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.192941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under75c65.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.715263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under75c65.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.717652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under75c65.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.713762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under79c62.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Under74c60.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over28c53.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.011346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…109cbacked Under73c49.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under74c48.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7513738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Under73c47.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.742454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over27c46.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4163346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1039743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under74c39.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.384459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0da…b072backed Under77c34.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.961250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b2…c115backed Under73c29.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under73c27.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.312470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Under73c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under73c24.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.813453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under73c24.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.625468.5%37 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under73c23.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.232075%15 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Under74c22.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.871566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Under79c20.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under75c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.929953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7926…4ae5backed Under79c18.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.84366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd507…f719backed Under72c15.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0faa…824cbacked Under73c15.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under74c14.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.675669.6%39 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.