Champions League · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8892600bf23d69b5bcab6a703012d00aad08dfe3cc67648f768b48b09ed326c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 28c | 6,922$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.72 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 1,401$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.29 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…c75dbacked Over | 2c | 1,170$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 73c | 1,011$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.9 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 15c | 962.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 27c | 901.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Over | 6c | 784.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Over | 30c | 686.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.97 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 73c | 673.75$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…7a9cbacked Over | 4c | 594.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431f…be71backed Over | 2c | 583.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…0979backed Over | 4c | 576.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…3b33backed Over | 4c | 561.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 2c | 517.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…c1d0backed Over | 8c | 495.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3386…be96backed Over | 3c | 484.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…b699backed Over | 3c | 418.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 71c | 365.95$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 73c | 337.63$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 72c | 283.81$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 73c | 270.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 6c | 207.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 28c | 198.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…b39dbacked Over | 12c | 170.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…7eefbacked Over | 12c | 170.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 28c | 142.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9223…330ebacked Under | 78c | 139.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 27c | 139.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Under | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 72c | 117.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed Under | 72c | 111.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 72c | 109.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 76c | 108.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Over | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 77c | 100.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Under | 74c | 99.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 72c | 99.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 29c | 99.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Over | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…4158backed Over | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 73c | 95.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…4768backed Over | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 28c | 80.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 26c | 76.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 75c | 74.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 75c | 74.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 75c | 74.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 75c | 74.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 27c | 72.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 74c | 71.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…7ec6backed Over | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…4168backed Under | 73c | 68.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Under | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 75c | 65.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 75c | 65.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 75c | 65.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 74c | 60.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 28c | 53.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…109cbacked Under | 73c | 49.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 74c | 48.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 73c | 47.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 46.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed Under | 77c | 34.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…c115backed Under | 73c | 29.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 73c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Under | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 73c | 24.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 73c | 23.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Under | 74c | 22.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 79c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…4ae5backed Under | 79c | 18.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…f719backed Under | 72c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0faa…824cbacked Under | 73c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 74c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.