TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sporting CPof Arsenal FC, Sporting CP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,497 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Arsenal FC11c1,022$112 inLost-$112.4691537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Arsenal FC8c632.92$52 inLost-$51.951,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Arsenal FC12c500$60 inLost-$607133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Arsenal FC12c400$48 inLost-$481520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-39.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b3a…610abacked Arsenal FC12c213.74$25 inLost-$24.791811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Arsenal FC10c194.29$19 inLost-$19.186536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Arsenal FC13c153.11$20 inLost-$19.920639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Arsenal FC13c131.23$17 inLost-$17.0688631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.