Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6931f9af66ac2a32ae2c4a066d0ef934274f81358d391e3e9d47f5a56420c628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 9,760$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.09 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 64c | 3,743$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.5 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 2,580$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.78 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Under | 53c | 1,802$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 752.42$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.28 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under | 70c | 714.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 67c | 664.52$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 80c | 620$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 24c | 583.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 21c | 469.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +11.0wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 437$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.02 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 36c | 399.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.33 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 65c | 361.54$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 347.25$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 333.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 262.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Under | 80c | 251.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 165.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Over | 26c | 116.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Over | 52c | 109.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 32c | 78.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 69.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 36c | 69.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 38c | 68.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 49c | 61.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 67c | 59.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 49c | 57.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1068…84e1backed Over | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 43c | 43.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 41.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…e4edbacked Under | 75c | 41.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 38c | 34.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 34.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 32.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 63c | 32.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Over | 32c | 32.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 33c | 30.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 28.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under | 59c | 25.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1390…080fbacked Under | 56c | 25.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33a6backed Under | 64c | 23.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 49c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.