Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322ac7d9b4b59ce0a4a56f87fba0b0b22f3e2d91a8f24e49f8f35215b81f8fb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 27c | 2,040$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 1,673$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.57 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 26c | 795.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 15c | 787.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 608.84$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 55c | 465.45$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 404.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 330.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 12c | 286$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 277.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 265.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 29c | 232.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 14c | 218.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 71c | 211.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 9c | 163.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Over | 70c | 155.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 17c | 127.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 118.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Under | 15c | 114.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 65c | 107.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 54.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 79c | 53.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +11.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 78c | 42.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…c6e4backed Under | 39c | 36.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 33.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 25.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Over | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 65c | 22.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 64c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 71c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.