TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AS Romaof AS Roma, Pisa SC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked AS Roma49c36,560$17,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,625.615438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pisa SC54c12,654$6,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,793.546659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pisa SC52c7,000$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC52c6,629$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,451.472,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed AS Roma49c6,585$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.8696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pisa SC51c5,202$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.091,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Pisa SC50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7506365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pisa SC53c3,167$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.6841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pisa SC53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.975653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed AS Roma47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3253641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked AS Roma47c2,472$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.163756.8%21 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+81.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Pisa SC50c2,406$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.26165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed AS Roma45c2,102$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.853040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Pisa SC52c1,488$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.5743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pisa SC50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed AS Roma45c1,336$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.77546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Pisa SC50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked AS Roma47c999.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9815042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed AS Roma46c986.53$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.7312731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Pisa SC50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked AS Roma48c871.92$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.47749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed AS Roma47c870$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Pisa SC56c858.78$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Pisa SC50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed AS Roma47c721$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1317744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed AS Roma48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Pisa SC50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked AS Roma47c576.8$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.79154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Pisa SC50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pisa SC56c492.25$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.667558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pisa SC40c482.15$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.220452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Pisa SC50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Pisa SC50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Pisa SC53c412.56$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+73.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked AS Roma48c410.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.574658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Pisa SC50c370$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Pisa SC51c317.14$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.744557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Pisa SC50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6627…8c04backed Pisa SC53c272.1$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04a…b54dbacked AS Roma48c271.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pisa SC52c258.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pisa SC54c249.09$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6713447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked AS Roma47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.615844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked AS Roma45c217.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.378041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked AS Roma45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.194847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6983…ee73backed AS Roma48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed AS Roma48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.955364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked AS Roma47c200.45$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.597740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed AS Roma48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed AS Roma47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064261.9%26 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Pisa SC50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Pisa SC51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.964721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed AS Roma54c175.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1949137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed AS Roma48c161.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.965939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed AS Roma48c155.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.816100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pisa SC52c133.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked AS Roma48c130.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.014339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Pisa SC53c130.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pisa SC51c129.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pisa SC58c119.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1719154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pisa SC58c119.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1719952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pisa SC58c119.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1711346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pisa SC58c119.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1715244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pisa SC58c119.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1714752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Pisa SC58c119.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.175054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pisa SC58c119.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.175162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked Pisa SC58c118.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.83560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Pisa SC52c115.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.364555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked AS Roma47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.596366.7%42 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Pisa SC51c101.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked AS Roma46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5434553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked AS Roma45c98.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.254247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pisa SC54c95.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked AS Roma48c88.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.025841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9943…a363backed AS Roma48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.98785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed AS Roma47c76.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.44551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c5…cf83backed AS Roma49c71.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked AS Roma47c70.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pisa SC41c67.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3414845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb00…5461backed AS Roma48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Pisa SC52c56.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.292240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked AS Roma45c55.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7316526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed AS Roma46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed AS Roma48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Pisa SC50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pisa SC50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed AS Roma46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.093366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d9…6c60backed AS Roma45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed AS Roma48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Pisa SC51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-78.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pisa SC50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pisa SC50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbf…10d9backed AS Roma49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a1…c3bebacked AS Roma49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked AS Roma47c38.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fdb…b04fbacked Pisa SC53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Pisa SC53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed AS Roma48c31.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4c…94fbbacked AS Roma48c29.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed AS Roma47c29.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6831958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.