Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2946a9dbd927eafe76b4beacb6393702f9e34e8f76e25fb7e3af92d714a179c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Romaof AS Roma, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC | 68c | 978.55$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.74 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked AS Roma | 25c | 955$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AS Roma | 28c | 435.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.74 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pisa SC | 72c | 233.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pisa SC | 72c | 233.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pisa SC | 72c | 233.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked AS Roma | 33c | 231.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed AS Roma | 42c | 169.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AS Roma | 45c | 167.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Pisa SC | 48c | 155$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked AS Roma | 23c | 154.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed AS Roma | 40c | 148.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed AS Roma | 40c | 148.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed AS Roma | 40c | 148.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…430dbacked AS Roma | 40c | 148.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed AS Roma | 41c | 144.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed AS Roma | 41c | 144.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Pisa SC | 71c | 137.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked AS Roma | 25c | 99.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed AS Roma | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked AS Roma | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed AS Roma | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pisa SC | 69c | 62.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked AS Roma | 66c | 59.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pisa SC | 76c | 58.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Pisa SC | 77c | 37.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pisa SC | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Pisa SC | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…21e7backed Pisa SC | 75c | 25.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pisa SC | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pisa SC | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pisa SC | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pisa SC | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Pisa SC | 72c | 22.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Pisa SC | 71c | 14.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)this page
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.