Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707d2f99747ec5f3f43fab49960dd38abbc29ae3ab19fd21da301e9c0f720c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 7,198$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 32c | 6,583$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 31c | 2,699$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.74 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 1,242$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 68c | 933.18$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 45c | 853.96$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.06 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 830.74$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 798.75$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.47 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 69c | 665.96$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 32c | 503.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 361.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 351.32$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 29c | 310.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 67c | 299.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 46c | 296.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 32c | 287.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 285.84$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 284.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 265.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 69c | 250.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Over | 11c | 211.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 204.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 55c | 204.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 55c | 204.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 55c | 204.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 32c | 198.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 47c | 172.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 69c | 150.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 9c | 139.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 68c | 133.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 30c | 118.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 30c | 118.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 72c | 110.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 59c | 88.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 55c | 86.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Under | 70c | 79.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 62c | 77.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 69c | 75.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over | 52c | 58.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 27c | 49.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 37c | 38.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 49c | 37.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 31c | 32.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 70c | 31.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Under | 63c | 30.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 54c | 27.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 68c | 27.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.