Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe257c214dfecc1583a37a39d208dc6136c74cb76ff2ccf01cd233bb13b6905a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdb4…4039backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 60c | 1,994$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 20c | 1,480$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,126$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed No | 60c | 1,012$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 59c | 975.4$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.91 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 44c | 768.73$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.24 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 758.9$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 622.12$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 41c | 419.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 41c | 419.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 41c | 310.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 41c | 310.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 41c | 310.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 16c | 291.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 39c | 272.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 26c | 233.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 43c | 231.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 57c | 205.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 42c | 195.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed No | 61c | 192.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed No | 55c | 178.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked No | 53c | 171.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 47c | 153.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 144.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 44c | 125.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 24c | 124.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 43c | 124.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 30c | 119.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 73c | 118.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 40c | 109.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 92.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed No | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Yes | 41c | 82.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…17cfbacked Yes | 43c | 81.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 40c | 78.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 54c | 71.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…a468backed Yes | 42c | 71.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked No | 58c | 68.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked No | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 40c | 62.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 40c | 50.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Yes | 44c | 43.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed No | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed No | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked No | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 41c | 33.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Yes | 41c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Yes | 41c | 25.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…84ddbacked No | 72c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.