Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b53a867b9ec4f72e0ed094a4ea4bd8e124d725682246527dd5d7211b3e23b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 3c | 2,619$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 2,114$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.32 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 40c | 1,900$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.85 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 1,152$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.38 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 22c | 909$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.02 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 640.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 19c | 552.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.87 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 59c | 416.79$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 41c | 279.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 41c | 279.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 253.22$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 24c | 253.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 23c | 235.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 217.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 168$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 163$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 18c | 155.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 147.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 142.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 19c | 124$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed Yes | 22c | 118.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 111.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 24c | 107.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 21c | 81.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 20c | 80.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 73.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 40c | 65.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Yes | 24c | 46.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1068…84e1backed No | 78c | 46.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 77c | 43.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 76c | 38.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 76c | 38.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 46c | 32.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 41c | 27.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed No | 79c | 26.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 53c | 25.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 76c | 21.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 76c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…914cbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179f…3df2backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 72c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?No won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.