TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Burnley FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC33c52,250$17,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,988.1416040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Burnley FC64c20,189$12,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,920.6617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC36c13,356$4,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,547.569746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Burnley FC67c8,992$6,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,024.5214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Burnley FC67c6,000$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,02013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC68c4,982$3,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.096,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Burnley FC66c4,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6403948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Burnley FC67c3,536$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.62,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Burnley FC67c3,500$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Burnley FC67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Burnley FC64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC36c2,365$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.548345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Burnley FC65c1,958$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.732158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Burnley FC67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00510951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Burnley FC67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Burnley FC67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.9913151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC36c1,333$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.092725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Burnley FC67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6706448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Burnley FC67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Burnley FC67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Burnley FC67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Burnley FC65c912.52$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.5710765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Burnley FC67c900$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60314355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Burnley FC67c900$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60314354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Burnley FC63c830.82$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.113842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Burnley FC53c618.12$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Burnley FC67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40212757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Burnley FC67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40213855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Burnley FC68c545.01$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5623556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Burnley FC67c544.01$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4929250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Burnley FC67c515.12$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5311652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC38c506.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.185238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Burnley FC67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Burnley FC67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Burnley FC67c484.46$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Burnley FC67c420$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.417959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Burnley FC67c420$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Burnley FC66c406.83$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Burnley FC67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2689451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Burnley FC67c375.4$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5216753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Burnley FC67c375.4$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Burnley FC67c370$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.916858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Burnley FC68c315.75$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0611555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Burnley FC67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Burnley FC65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Burnley FC67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20111457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20137342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Burnley FC69c300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Burnley FC67c292$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.644656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC57c271.47$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.694,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Burnley FC68c270.12$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Burnley FC65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.514553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Burnley FC53c242.51$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.532454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Burnley FC67c225.11$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC46c210.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.152128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1283435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Burnley FC67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Burnley FC67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Burnley FC15c190.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Burnley FC53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1732037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Burnley FC68c187.51$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.56253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Burnley FC59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5424047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Burnley FC67c162.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.83167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Burnley FC66c140.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC33c140.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4116757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Burnley FC67c131.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2211248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Burnley FC65c123.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.031963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC31c116.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.952,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Burnley FC67c104.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3312136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Burnley FC68c99.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.863658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Burnley FC68c99.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8612561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Burnley FC66c99.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8412050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Burnley FC69c98.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.910547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Burnley FC69c98.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.913748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Burnley FC69c98.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.96462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC37c78.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.351516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Burnley FC67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Burnley FC66c71.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.362733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Burnley FC65c68.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.271,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC36c66.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7440841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC47c56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.681,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC36c54.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.758219.5%16 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Burnley FC67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Burnley FC67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Burnley FC69c49.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.357960.8%48 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC33c49.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.865048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Burnley FC64c47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0814258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7eb…da58backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC42c41.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC28c40.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2973258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC36c40.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.644951%25 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Burnley FC67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Burnley FC67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Burnley FC67c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Burnley FC64c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-61.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Burnley FC67c30.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3820651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Burnley FC64c25.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3216454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Burnley FC65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.684065%26 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Burnley FC67c22.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.092560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be5…9d53backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC48c21.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.092147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.