Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d90cc5cacf6d68b2b9992862e257ca9d7dd36f30e47e026a1a95044216bc4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 6,229$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 37c | 4,204$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.32 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 1,981$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.45 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 1,451$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.79 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,124$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.22 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 78c | 1,022$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 72c | 960.03$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 80c | 858.28$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.26 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 47c | 824$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.28 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 46c | 821.13$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.1 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Under | 36c | 709.26$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 54c | 598.13$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.14 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 15c | 533$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Under | 20c | 492.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 78c | 345.38$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 299.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 297.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 294.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 80c | 288.26$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 80c | 288.26$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 64c | 269.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 80c | 230.28$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 11c | 169.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 69c | 98.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 23c | 61.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…8377backed Over | 63c | 60.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 58.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 39c | 57.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 58c | 49.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Under | 41c | 47.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 47.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Under | 35c | 45.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 60c | 41.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 34.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 70c | 34.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 56c | 30.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd4…fa95backed Over | 64c | 29.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 53c | 29.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 28.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…e943backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…892fbacked Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7b0cbacked Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 69c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…2c87backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.