Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x555e73cbd2a0df0556d532fd8ff35b047dfb74f3873eac368d17c8474aefc55f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 18c | 570.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 4c | 558.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 15c | 425$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 304.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 17c | 117.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Burnley FC | 75c | 65.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Burnley FC | 77c | 64.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Burnley FC | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Burnley FC | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.